Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

When will the UK prime minister or chancellor of the exchequer announce the government's choice for the next governor of the Bank of England?

The new governor of the Bank of England is expected to take office on 1 February 2020, though an announcement of the government's intended appointee has been delayed (Economist, NY Times, Parliament.uk). The prime minister and the chancellor of the exchequer advise the monarch, who officially appoints the governor of the Bank of England (Cabinetoffice.gov.uk, Gov.uk). An announcement for either a new term or extension of the current term for Governor Mark Carney would count.

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Name Probability
Before 1 January 2020 32%
Between 1 January 2020 and 31 January 2020 44%
Between 1 February 2020 and 29 February 2020 15%
Not before 1 March 2020 9%

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