The Economist asks:

When will the UK prime minister or chancellor of the exchequer announce the government's choice for the next governor of the Bank of England?

Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 20, 2019 04:00PM UTC

The new governor of the Bank of England is expected to take office on 1 February 2020, though an announcement of the government's intended appointee has been delayed (Economist, NY Times, Parliament.uk). The prime minister and the chancellor of the exchequer advise the monarch, who officially appoints the governor of the Bank of England (Cabinetoffice.gov.uk, Gov.uk). An announcement for either a new term or extension of the current term for Governor Mark Carney would count.

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The question closed "Before 1 January 2020" with a closing date of 20 December 2019 (BBC).  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 January 2020 100%
Between 1 January 2020 and 31 January 2020 0%
Between 1 February 2020 and 29 February 2020 0%
Not before 1 March 2020 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 141
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.364
2.
-0.352
3.
-0.347
4.
-0.322
5.
-0.306

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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