The Economist asks:

When will Telegram’s digital currency, Gram, launch for the public?

Started Dec 06, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC

The Internet messaging service Telegraph delayed plans to launch a digital currency, Gram, from October 2019 to April 2020 (Economist, Finance Magnates, Crypto News, NY Times).

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The question closed "Not before 1 October 2020" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 May 2020 0%
Between 1 May 2020 and 30 September 2020 0%
Not before 1 October 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 305
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 642
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.028
2.
-0.027
3.
-0.026
4.
-0.025
5.
-0.025

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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