Fareed Zakaria GPS and 
The Economist ask:
Before 13 July 2020, will the United States and Afghan Taliban sign a peace agreement?
Started
Dec 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 29, 2020 01:30PM UTC
Closed Feb 29, 2020 01:30PM UTC
The U.S. and Taliban were seemingly close to a peace agreement in September 2019, but talks abruptly ended after a Taliban attack (Economist). Talks restarted in December 2019 (NBC News, Al Jazeera).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 29 February 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.00% | |
| No | 30.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1110 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1659 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
