Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020?

Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (Economist, Americas Quarterly, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1318
Average for questions older than 6 months: 249
Number of Forecasts 2105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
2.
-0.04
3.
-0.04
4.
-0.04
5.
-0.04

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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