Between 13 December 2019 and 1 May 2020, will either Moody's or S&P downgrade Bolivia's credit rating?
Closed Mar 10, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Amid political turmoil in the South American country, Fitch Ratings downgraded Bolivia's long-term credit rating from BB- to B+ (Reuters, Fitch Ratings). In early December 2019, Moody's announced that it was putting Bolivia's rating under review (Moody's). As of 13 December 2019, Moody's rating was Ba3 and S&P's rating was BB- (Trading Economics, Wolf Street). The question will resolve based on a change to the long-term foreign currency credit rating. Any changes to the outlook or other ratings for Bolivia would be immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 March 2020 (Moody's).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 25.00% | |
No | 75.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
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Number of Forecasters | 120 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 231 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |