BayesianChimp asks:
What will be the Estimated CO2 (carbon dioxide) Daily Global Seasonal Cycle value for 1 December 2020, according to NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory?
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Carbon dioxide emissions were again the highest in modern times in 2019 (Scientific American, Phys.org). The outcome will be determined using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) Earth System Research Laboratory data, which can be retrieved from (NOAA) by selecting the "Estimated Global Trend daily values" file. The relevant value will be reported in the 'cycle' column for 1 December 2020.
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The question closed "More than 414.00 ppm but less than 416.00 ppm" with a closing date of 1 December 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 412.00 ppm | 0% | |
| Between 412.00 ppm and 414.00 ppm, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 414.00 ppm but less than 416.00 ppm | 100% | |
| 416.00 ppm or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 169 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 955 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
