The Economist asks:

For the month of June 2020, what will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone?

Started Dec 27, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Christine Lagarde became President of the European Central Bank (ECB) in November 2019 at a time the eurozone faces various challenges, including how to balance a world of negative interest rates with an inflation target "below, but close to, 2% over the medium term" (Economist, ECB). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2020 and closed upon the release of the relevant June (2020M06) Eurostat data for "Euro area (19 countries)" (Eurostat). Estimates would not count.

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The question closed "Between 0.1% and 1.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0.0% or less 11%
Between 0.1% and 1.0%, inclusive 89%
Between 1.0% and 2.0% 0%
2.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 413
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1087
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.259
2.
-0.247
3.
-0.246

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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