Who will win the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses?
Started
Jan 03, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
The Iowa caucuses are scheduled for 3 February 2020 (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates, reported as "state delegate equivalents" in Iowa (Des Moines Register). In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most final votes will be considered the winner.
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The question closed "Pete Buttigieg" with a closing date of 3 February 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 37% | |
Pete Buttigieg | 11% | |
Bernie Sanders | 42% | |
Elizabeth Warren | 10% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 313 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 624 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |