The Economist asks:

Will Félix Tshisekedi cease to be president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before 15 August 2020?

Started Jan 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Félix Tshisekedi was inaugurated in January 2020 amid claims of election rigging and a secret power-sharing deal with outgoing President Kabila (Economist, The Africa ReportWashington Post).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 249
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 514
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.019
3.
-0.019
5.
-0.019

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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