Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

For more information on the the popular vote and the electoral college see: (Archives.gov, Ballotpedia, Archives.gov).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

85%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

2537

Forecast
Count

4206

Crowd Brier Score

0.1036


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.12
2.
-0.12
4.
-0.12
5.
-0.12

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