Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021?

Guaidó and his allies continue to face pressure from the Maduro government, including a threat by Venezuelan prosecutors to arrest Guaidó for "high treason" (Yahoo, Deutsche Welle, CBC). The duration of a detention or arrest is immaterial to the resolution of this question.

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Name Probability
Yes 39%

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