The Economist asks:

Will domestic sales of passenger vehicles in India be higher in April-June 2020 compared with April-June 2019?

Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

A slowing economy in India is affecting many sectors, including car sales (Economist, India Today). The question will be resolved based on data reported by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, or SIAM (SIAM). For April-June 2019 SIAM reported that the sale of Passenger Vehicles declined by 18.42% compared to April-June 2018 (SIAM, New Delhi Television). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2020 and resolved when the relevant data are released, usually in early July.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 306
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 566
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.108225
2.
-0.105092
3.
-0.104872
5.
-0.100424

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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