Who will win the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucuses?

Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 22, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Nevada caucuses are scheduled for 22 February 2020 (270 To Win, Nevada Democratic Party). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most county convention delegates will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Bernie Sanders" with a closing date of 22 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 11%
Bernie Sanders 79%
Tom Steyer 0%
Elizabeth Warren 4%
Someone else 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 227
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 559
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.447
3.
-0.384
4.
-0.38
5.
-0.352

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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