Started Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 September 2020, will Cameroon's Paul Biya and/or Togo's Faure Gnassingbé cease to be the president of their respective countries?

Long-seated African leaders like Cameroon's President Paul Biya and Togo's President Faure Gnassingbé could see their political fates tested in 2020 (Economist).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only President Paul Biya 0%
Yes, only President Faure Gnassingbé 0%
Yes, both 0%
No 100%

No. of
Forecasters

181

Forecast
Count

439

Crowd Brier Score

0.0168


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.024
2.
-0.022
3.
-0.022
4.
-0.02
5.
-0.019

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