Started Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 September 2020, will Cameroon's Paul Biya and/or Togo's Faure Gnassingbé cease to be the president of their respective countries?

Long-seated African leaders like Cameroon's President Paul Biya and Togo's President Faure Gnassingbé could see their political fates tested in 2020 (Economist).

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Name Probability
Yes, only President Paul Biya 3%
Yes, only President Faure Gnassingbé 0%
Yes, both 0%
No 97%

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