The Economist asks:
Before 1 September 2020, will Cameroon's Paul Biya and/or Togo's Faure Gnassingbé cease to be the president of their respective countries?
Started
Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Long-seated African leaders like Cameroon's President Paul Biya and Togo's President Faure Gnassingbé could see their political fates tested in 2020 (Economist).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only President Paul Biya | 0% | |
| Yes, only President Faure Gnassingbé | 0% | |
| Yes, both | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 181 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 439 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
