When will the CDC's novel coronavirus travel notice for China be lowered below "Warning - Level 3" and/or narrowed to cover only part of the country?
Started
Feb 07, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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On 27 January 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) widened its highest travel warning, “Warning - Level 3, Avoid Nonessential Travel,” to include all of China (CDC, Washington Post).
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The question closed "Not before 1 June 2020" with a closing date of 1 June 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 March 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 1 March 2020 and 15 April 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 16 April 2020 and 31 May 2020 | 0% | |
| Not before 1 June 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 459 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1120 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
