Started Feb 07, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC

San Francisco Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Bernie Sanders win a majority of Democratic pledged delegates on Super Tuesday?

Fourteen states, one U.S. territory, and "Democrats Abroad" are scheduled to hold their Democratic primaries & caucuses on 3 March 2020, known as "Super Tuesday" (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the majority of pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 March 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Answer was incorrect

Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.218
2.
-0.218
3.
-0.218
4.
-0.217
5.
-0.213