Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will the European Council decide to open accession negotiations with Albania and/or North Macedonia?

Albania and North Macedonia have been candidates for EU membership since 2014 and 2005, respectively (consilium.europa.eu). Some member states want negotiations to begin soon (Politico, Reuters).

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Name Probability
Yes, only Albania 6%
Yes, only North Macedonia 5%
Yes, both Albania and North Macedonia 44%
No 45%

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