The Economist asks:
Before 1 October 2020, will the European Council decide to open accession negotiations with Albania and/or North Macedonia?
Started
Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 27, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 27, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Albania and North Macedonia have been candidates for EU membership since 2014 and 2005, respectively (consilium.europa.eu). Some member states want negotiations to begin soon (Politico, Reuters).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Yes, both Albania and North Macedonia" with a closing date of 26 March 2020 (consilium.europa.eu).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only Albania | 0% | |
| Yes, only North Macedonia | 0% | |
| Yes, both Albania and North Macedonia | 35% | |
| No | 65% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 220 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 394 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
