How many fatalities caused by the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) will the World Health Organization (WHO) report as of 1 June 2020?
Closed Mar 16, 2020 06:59AM UTC
The COVID-19 outbreak that began in late 2019 has caused more fatalities than the 2002-03 SARS outbreak (CNN, CNBC, WHO, The Hill). As of 19 February 2020, WHO has reported 2,009 deaths caused by the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) (WHO). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO and inclusive of fatalities reported before this question's launch (WHO).
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The question closed "More than 5,500" with a closing date of 15 March 2020 (WHO).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2,500 | 0% | |
| Between 2,500 and 3,500, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 3,500 but less than 4,500 | 0% | |
| Between 4,500 and 5,500, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 5,500 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 480 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 967 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
