Will Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win New York's 14th Congressional District Democratic primary?
Started
Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 23, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 23, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The 14th Congressional District of New York is scheduled to hold its Democratic primary election on 23 June 2020. The incumbent, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, has an international profile (Ballotpedia, NYPost, Guardian).
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The question closed "Yes, and she will win a majority of votes" with a closing date of 23 June 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and she will win a majority of votes | 95% | |
| Yes, and she will win a plurality of votes | 5% | |
| No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 349 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 604 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
