Started Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the South Korean won (₩) against the U.S. dollar on 15 July 2020?

South Korea, the first country other than China to reach over 1,000 COVID-19 cases, faces uncertainty as it battles the outbreak (CNBC, CBS News). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "More than ₩1,200.0000 but less than ₩1,250.0000" with a closing date of 15 July 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than ₩1,150.0000 0%
Between ₩1,150.0000 and ₩1,200.0000, inclusive 35%
More than ₩1,200.0000 but less than ₩1,250.0000 65%
Between ₩1,250.0000 and ₩1,300.0000, inclusive 0%
More than ₩1,300.0000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

174

Forecast
Count

887

Crowd Brier Score

0.0703


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.137
2.
-0.126
3.
-0.125
4.
-0.107
5.
-0.104

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username