What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 13 May 2020, according to Bloomberg?

Started Mar 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Amid the COVID-19 outbreak spreading around the world and fears of a price war between Russia and OPEC members, oil prices saw their largest single day percentage drop since 1991 (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "Between $25.00 and $35.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 13 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $25.00 46%
Between $25.00 and $35.00, inclusive 54%
More than $35.00 but less than $45.00 0%
Between $45.00 and $55.00, inclusive 0%
More than $55.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 342
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1306
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.164
2.
-0.158
3.
-0.146
4.
-0.145
5.
-0.145

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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