Before 9 October 2020, will the music festival Coachella, which has been rescheduled for October 2020, be postponed or canceled?

Started Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 11, 2020 02:00AM UTC

Coachella, an annual music festival that typically takes place in April, was rescheduled in 2020 due to concerns over COVID-19 (NY Times, CNN). The festival is now scheduled for 9-11 and 16-18 October. For the purposes of this question, a partial cancellation and/or partial postponement would not count.

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NOTE 14 April 2020: Any online activities branded as Coachella or otherwise are immaterial to the outcome of this forecasting question.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 96.00%
No 4.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 307
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 640
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.109
3.
-0.094
4.
-0.094
5.
-0.094

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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