How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for Spain as of 1 May 2020?

Started Mar 26, 2020 03:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 17, 2020 10:00PM UTC

As of 25 March 2020, WHO reported 39,673 confirmed cases for Spain (WHO). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 1 May 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 180,000 cases" with a closing date of 17 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 60,000 cases 0%
Between 60,000 and 100,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 100,000 but less than 140,000 cases 0%
Between 140,000 and 180,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 180,000 cases 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 219
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 491
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.027
2.
-0.027
3.
-0.027
4.
-0.027
5.
-0.027

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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