How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for Spain as of 1 May 2020?

Started Mar 26, 2020 03:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC

As of 25 March 2020, WHO reported 2,696 deaths attributed to COVID-19 for Spain (WHO). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 1 May 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of deaths reported before this question's launch (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 15,000 deaths" with a closing date of 10 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 6,000 deaths 0%
Between 6,000 and 9,000 deaths, inclusive 0%
More than 9,000 but less than 12,000 deaths 0%
Between 12,000 and 15,000 deaths, inclusive 0%
More than 15,000 deaths 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 345
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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