How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 June 2020?

Started Mar 26, 2020 03:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 26, 2020 10:00PM UTC

As of 25 March 2020, WHO reported 8,081 confirmed cases for the United Kingdom (WHO). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 1 June 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 145,000 cases" with a closing date of 26 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 25,000 cases 0%
Between 25,000 and 65,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 65,000 but less than 105,000 cases 0%
Between 105,000 and 145,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 145,000 cases 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 264
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 616
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.029
2.
-0.029
3.
-0.029
4.
-0.029
5.
-0.029

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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