How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 June 2020?

Started Mar 26, 2020 03:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 10, 2020 06:59AM UTC

As of 25 March 2020, WHO reported 422 deaths attributed to COVID-19 for the United Kingdom (WHO). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 1 June 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of deaths reported before this question's launch (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 7,000 deaths" with a closing date of 9 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,000 deaths 0%
Between 1,000 and 3,000 deaths, inclusive 0%
More than 3,000 but less than 5,000 deaths 0%
Between 5,000 and 7,000 deaths, inclusive 0%
More than 7,000 deaths 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 208
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 393
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
2.
-0.011
3.
-0.011
4.
-0.011
5.
-0.011

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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