Who will the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee select as a running mate?

Started Apr 03, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC

In the March Democratic debate, candidate Joe Biden "committed" to picking a woman running mate, while Bernie Sanders said that he would "in all likelihood" do the same (CNN). The outcome will be determined based on the person formally nominated by the Democratic Party as its vice presidential candidate.

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The question closed "Kamala Harris" with a closing date of 19 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Stacey Abrams 0%
Tammy Duckworth 0%
Kamala Harris 100%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Gretchen Whitmer 0%
Another woman 0%
Someone else not a woman 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 572
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 2367
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.574589
3.
-0.564483
4.
-0.553366
5.
-0.550788

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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