How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 12 April 2020?

Started Apr 05, 2020 08:30PM UTC
Closed Apr 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Tags
Health  

The question will be suspended on 11 April 2020 and the outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 12 April 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 13 April under "Positive" (The COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 305,755 total cases through 4 April 2020.

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The question closed "Between 500,000 and 600,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 12 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 500,000 0%
Between 500,000 and 600,000, inclusive 100%
More than 600,000 but less than 700,000 0%
Between 700,000 and 800,000, inclusive 0%
More than 800,000 but less than 900,000 0%
Between 900,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,000,000 but less than 1,100,000 0%
Between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,200,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 217
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 551
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.064
2.
-0.063
3.
-0.057
4.
-0.053
5.
-0.046

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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