How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Arab Emirates as of 15 May 2020?

Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the latest Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report as of 15 May 2020 and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch (WHO Situation Reports). As of 9 April 2020, WHO reported 2,659 confirmed cases for the United Arab Emirates (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 10,000 but less than 25,000 cases" with a closing date of 15 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5,000 cases 0%
Between 5,000 and 10,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 10,000 but less than 25,000 cases 100%
Between 25,000 and 50,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 50,000 cases 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 147
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 430
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.029
3.
-0.028
4.
-0.027
5.
-0.026

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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