By when will more than 15,000,000 COVID-19 tests have been conducted in the United States?

Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 27, 2020 09:00PM UTC

COVID-19 testing constraints in the United States have been a crucial factor in the response to the outbreak (NY Times, The Atlantic, Stat News, CNN). This question will be resolved based on total tests data reported for a date as of the following day at 4:00PM ET by The COVID Tracking Project for "US Daily Cumulative Totals" (COVID Tracking Project). As of 8 April 2020, 2,197,743 COVID-19 total tests had been conducted in the United States.

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The question closed "Between 1 May and 31 May 2020" with a closing date of 27 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 May 2020 0%
Between 1 May and 31 May 2020 100%
Between 1 June and 30 June 2020 0%
Between 1 July 2020 and 31 July 2020 0%
Not before 1 August 2020 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 227
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 834
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.291
2.
-0.271
3.
-0.266
4.
-0.257

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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