Started Apr 13, 2020 02:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC

How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 19 April 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The question will be suspended on 18 April 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 19 April 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 20 April under "Positive" (COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 424,289 total cases through 8 April 2020.

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The question closed "Between 700,000 and 750,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 19 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 700,000 0%
Between 700,000 and 750,000, inclusive 45%
More than 750,000 but less than 800,000 55%
Between 800,000 and 850,000, inclusive 0%
More than 850,000 but less than 900,000 0%
Between 900,000 and 950,000, inclusive 0%
More than 950,000 but less than 1,000,000 0%
1,000,000 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

176

Forecast
Count

502

Crowd Brier Score

0.0451


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.072
2.
-0.072
3.
-0.07
5.
-0.067