How many states will have reported 1,000 or more COVID-19 deaths as of 1 May 2020?
Started
Apr 13, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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As of 11 April 2020, three states have reported 1,000 or more COVID-19 deaths: Michigan, New Jersey, and New York. The outcome will be determined using data as provided by The COVID Tracking Project for 1 May 2020 as provided on 4 May 2020 after 5:00PM ET (The COVID Tracking Project). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
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The question closed "More than 13" with a closing date of 1 May 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 5 | 0% | |
| Between 5 and 7, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 7 but less than 11 | 0% | |
| Between 11 and 13, inclusive | 16% | |
| More than 13 | 84% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 255 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 888 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
