How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 30 June 2020?

Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 29 June 2020. The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 30 June 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch (WHO). As of 16 April 2020, WHO reported 98,480 total confirmed cases for the United Kingdom (WHO).

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The question closed "More than 260,000 but less than 340,000 cases" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 180,000 cases 0%
Between 180,000 and 260,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 260,000 but less than 340,000 cases 100%
Between 340,000 and 420,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 420,000 cases 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 340
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1350
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.165951
2.
-0.164205
3.
-0.164205
4.
-0.16215
5.
-0.156773

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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