Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 30, 2020 06:59AM UTC

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 30 June 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The question will be suspended on 29 June 2020. The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO in the 30 June 2020 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch (WHO). As of 16 April 2020, WHO reported 98,480 total confirmed cases for the United Kingdom (WHO).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "More than 260,000 but less than 340,000 cases" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 180,000 cases 0%
Between 180,000 and 260,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 260,000 but less than 340,000 cases 100%
Between 340,000 and 420,000 cases, inclusive 0%
More than 420,000 cases 0%

No. of
Forecasters

340

Forecast
Count

1350

Crowd Brier Score

0.1125


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.166
2.
-0.164
3.
-0.164
4.
-0.162
5.
-0.157