How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 26 April 2020?

Started Apr 20, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 26, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Health  

The question will be suspended on 25 April 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 26 April 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 27 April under "Positive" (COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 576,774 total cases through 13 April 2020.

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The question closed "Between 950,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 26 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 850,000 0%
Between 850,000 and 900,000, inclusive 0%
More than 900,000 but less than 950,000 6%
Between 950,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive 94%
More than 1,000,000 but less than 1,050,000 0%
Between 1,050,000 and 1,100,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,100,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 171
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 473
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.223303
3.
-0.213303
4.
-0.206637
5.
-0.183303

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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