Started Apr 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 09, 2020 06:59AM UTC

As of 9 May 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in the U.S. as reported by COVID Tracker?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The question will be suspended on 8 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data as provided by The COVID Tracking Project for 9 May 2020 as provided on 11 May 2020 after 5:00PM ET (The COVID Tracking Project). As of 19 April 2020, reported U.S. deaths totaled 35,793.Confused?

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "More than 70,000 but less than 80,000" with a closing date of 9 May 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.




Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 60,000 0%
Between 60,000 and 70,000, inclusive 0%
More than 70,000 but less than 80,000 100%
Between 80,000 and 90,000, inclusive 0%
More than 90,000 but less than 100,000 0%
More than 100,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

266

Forecast
Count

809

Crowd Brier Score

0.0369


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.094
2.
-0.079
3.
-0.077
4.
-0.075
5.
-0.074