As of 9 May 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in Illinois, as reported by COVID Tracker?

Started Apr 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Health  

The question will be suspended on 8 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data as provided by The COVID Tracking Project for 9 May 2020 as provided on 11 May 2020 after 5:00PM ET (The COVID Tracking Project). As of 19 April 2020, reported Illinois deaths totaled 1,290.

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The question closed "More than 3,000 but less than 4,000" with a closing date of 9 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2,000 0%
Between 2,000 and 3,000, inclusive 0%
More than 3,000 but less than 4,000 100%
Between 4,000 and 5,000, inclusive 0%
More than 5,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 113
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 347
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.054045
2.
-0.054045
3.
-0.049045
4.
-0.043545
5.
-0.042295

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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