How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 3 May 2020?
Started
Apr 27, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed May 03, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 03, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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The question will be suspended on 2 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 3 May 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 4 May under "Positive" (The COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 773,020 total cases through 20 April 2020.
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The question closed "More than 1,150,000 but less than 1,200,000" with a closing date of 3 May 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1,050,000 | 0% | |
| Between 1,050,000 and 1,100,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 1,100,000 but less than 1,150,000 | 10% | |
| Between 1,150,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive | 90% | |
| More than 1,200,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 185 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 434 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
