Started Apr 27, 2020 02:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 03, 2020 06:59AM UTC

How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 3 May 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The question will be suspended on 2 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 3 May 2020 as of 4:00PM ET on Monday 4 May under "Positive" (The COVID Tracking Project). The COVID Tracking Project reported 773,020 total cases through 20 April 2020.

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The question closed "More than 1,150,000 but less than 1,200,000" with a closing date of 3 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,050,000 0%
Between 1,050,000 and 1,100,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,100,000 but less than 1,150,000 10%
Between 1,150,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive 90%
More than 1,200,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

185

Forecast
Count

434

Crowd Brier Score

0.1275


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.148
3.
-0.131
4.
-0.13
5.
-0.128