How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 10 May 2020?

Started May 04, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed May 10, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Health  

The question will be suspended on 9 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 10 May 2020 as of 5:00PM ET on Monday 11 May 2020 under "Positive" (The COVID Tracking Project).

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The question closed "Between 1,300,000 and 1,350,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 10 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,200,000 0%
Between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,250,000 but less than 1,300,000 0%
Between 1,300,000 and 1,350,000, inclusive 99%
More than 1,350,000 but less than 1,400,000 1%
Between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,450,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 247
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036493
2.
-0.03032
3.
-0.029993
4.
-0.029827
5.
-0.02838

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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