Started May 04, 2020 02:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 29, 2020 09:00PM UTC

How many states will have reported more total COVID-19 cases for September 2020 than for June 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The outcome will be determined using data as provided by The COVID Tracking Project for June 2020 and September 2020 as of 5:00PM ET on Friday 2 October 2020 (The COVID Tracking Project). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands are considered states.

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The question closed "44 or more" with a closing date of 29 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 4 0%
Between 4 and 11 0%
Between 12 and 19 0%
Between 20 and 27 0%
Between 28 and 35 5%
Between 36 and 43 67%
44 or more 28%

No. of
Forecasters

614

Forecast
Count

2291

Crowd Brier Score

0.7689


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.866
2.
-0.814
3.
-0.753
5.
-0.645

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