What will the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 be in Texas for the week ending 13 June 2020, as reported by the Texas Department of State Health Services?

Started May 04, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC

On 1 May 2020 Texas lifted its stay-at-home restrictions and began allowing some businesses to reopen so long as they follow a minimum standard health protocol set by the state and limit their occupancy (Texas Tribune). The question will be suspended on 12 June 2020. The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Texas Department of State Health Services for the week ending on 13 June 2020 as of 5:00PM ET on 14 June 2020 (Texas Department of State Health Services, click “Trends”).

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The question closed "Between 1,350 and 1,800, inclusive" with a closing date of 14 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 675 0%
Between 675 and 900, inclusive 0%
More than 900 but less than 1,350 0%
Between 1,350 and 1,800, inclusive 60%
More than 1,800 40%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 807
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.221
2.
-0.221
3.
-0.169
4.
-0.158

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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