How many total cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will The COVID Tracking Project report as of Sunday 17 May 2020?

Started May 11, 2020 02:00PM UTC
Closed May 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Health  

The question will be suspended on 16 May 2020. The outcome will be determined using data from The COVID Tracking Project for Sunday 17 May 2020 as of 5:00PM ET on Monday 18 May 2020 under "Positive" (The COVID Tracking Project).

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The question closed "More than 1,450,000 but less than 1,500,000" with a closing date of 17 May 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,400,000 0%
Between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,450,000 but less than 1,500,000 98%
Between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000, inclusive 2%
More than 1,550,000 but less than 1,600,000 0%
Between 1,600,000 and 1,650,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,650,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 130
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 360
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.02497
2.
-0.023243
3.
-0.022537
4.
-0.02247

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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