Will Paulo Guedes cease to be Brazil's Minister of the Economy before 1 December 2020?

Started May 08, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

Two major figures in Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro's cabinet left office in April, which has raised speculation that Paulo Guedes, the Minister of the Economy, may be next (Forbes, Bloomberg, Reuters, Economist).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 112
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 623
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.404583
3.
-0.350727
4.
-0.335248
5.
-0.311632

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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