The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?

Started May 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Due to impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the auto industry in the EU is seeking relief from CO2 emission performance standards regulations (European Automobile Manufacturers AssociationEuropaElectrive). For more information on EU CO2 emission performance standards, see REGULATION (EU) 2019/631, particularly Article 4 and the annexes. The date a change would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question.

This question is the longer-term companion of question #1619. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 105
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 252
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.005
2.
-0.005
3.
-0.005
4.
-0.005
5.
-0.005

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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