Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 October 2020, will there be a period of at least 14 consecutive days without a new reported case of COVID-19 in the United Arab Emirates (UAE)?

The UAE has implemented varying virus spread mitigation measures as it lifts many previous restrictions (U.S. Embassy - UAE). The outcome will be determined using information reported by the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Dashboard (JHU COVID-19 Dashboard). The relevant data can be accessed by selecting “United Arab Emirates” under “Confirmed Cases by Country/Region/Sovereignty” on the left side and then clicking the the “Daily Cases” tab on the bottom right.

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.



Name Probability
Yes 10%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In