The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 October 2020, will there be a period of at least 14 consecutive days without a new reported case of COVID-19 in the United Arab Emirates (UAE)?

Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 17, 2020 07:01AM UTC

The UAE has implemented varying virus spread mitigation measures as it lifts many previous restrictions (U.S. Embassy - UAE). The outcome will be determined using information reported by the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Dashboard (JHU COVID-19 Dashboard). The relevant data can be accessed by selecting “United Arab Emirates” under “Confirmed Cases by Country/Region/Sovereignty” on the left side and then clicking the the “Daily Cases” tab on the bottom right.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 17 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 158
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 318
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004
2.
-0.004
3.
-0.004
4.
-0.004

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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