The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will Apple officially announce a ridesharing partnership with a major automaker?

Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC

Apple has been involved in projects with vehicles in recent years, initially focused on electric vehicles and increasingly on autonomous vehicles (MacRumors, Reuters, ZD Net, Reuters). For the purposes of this question, a "major automaker" refers to any of the 50 motor vehicle manufacturers included by the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers in its 2017 list (OICA).

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 165
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 336
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.005356
2.
-0.004878
3.
-0.004878
4.
-0.004687
5.
-0.00453

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username