Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 January 2021?

Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (CNBC, Global Risk Insights, CNN).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

This question is a shorter-term companion of #1843.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 468
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 972
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.005
2.
-0.005
5.
-0.005

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username