WestfallJenny, robinr, and Ryan-Beck ask:

Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation curtailing or eliminating qualified immunity for public officials become law?

Started Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Qualified immunity, a legal doctrine by which public officials are shielded from being sued in federal court unless they violate clearly established law, is facing greater scrutiny in the aftermath of the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis (ABA Journal, NPR, Legal Information Institute). Legislation that would curtail or eliminate qualified immunity has been recently introduced in Congress (Congress.gov, BBC). The date the law would take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 305
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 498
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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