When will hospitalizations for confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC) next reach or exceed 1,000 in a single day?
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
NYC entered its "Phase I" of reopening on 8 June 2020 after a week of protests in the wake of the death of George Floyd (NBC New York, Washington Post). The outcome will be determined using data provided by the NYC Department of Health's COVID-19 data page at https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page. Under the graph for "Daily Counts," click the tab for "Hospitalizations." COVID-19 hospitalizations in NYC last reached 1,000 on 14 April 2020. Due to delays in reporting, the question would resolve as of the date for which 1,000 or more cases are reported irrespective of the date when that data for that date are updated. Resolution for this question will be entered no later than 9 October 2020.
Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Not before 1 October 2020" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 July 2020 | 0% | |
Between 1 July 2020 and 31 July 2020 | 0% | |
Between 1 August 2020 and 31 August 2020 | 0% | |
Between 1 September 2020 and 30 September 2020 | 0% | |
Not before 1 October 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 256 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 691 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |