Question 18 of 33 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

When will hospitalizations for confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC) next reach or exceed 1,000 in a single day?


NYC entered its "Phase I" of reopening on 8 June 2020 after a week of protests in the wake of the death of George Floyd (NBC New York, Washington Post). The outcome will be determined using data provided by the NYC Department of Health's COVID-19 data page at Under the graph for "Daily Counts," click the tab for "Hospitalizations." COVID-19 hospitalizations in NYC last reached 1,000 on 14 April 2020. Due to delays in reporting, the question would resolve as of the date for which 1,000 or more cases are reported irrespective of the date when that data for that date are updated. Resolution for this question will be entered no later than 9 October 2020.

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Name Probability
Before 1 July 2020 0%
Between 1 July 2020 and 31 July 2020 0%
Between 1 August 2020 and 31 August 2020 0%
Between 1 September 2020 and 30 September 2020 2%
Not before 1 October 2020 98%

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